Multiple Regression

13. Multiple Regression#

This chapter extends simple regression to models with several predictors. You will interpret coefficients, assess model assumptions, and evaluate prediction quality with training and testing data.

Chapter Video

Video credit: StatQuest with Josh Starmer. What Is Multiple Regression and How Is It Used?. YouTube. Watch on YouTube.

This embedded video is provided for educational reference only. All rights are retained by the respective copyright holder.

Learning Objectives

By the end of this chapter, you will be able to:

  1. Explain how multiple regression extends simple linear regression.

  2. Interpret regression coefficients while holding other predictors fixed.

  3. Recognize multicollinearity and other modeling assumptions.

  4. Evaluate model quality with errors and train/test comparisons.

  5. Use multiple regression for applied prediction and explanation questions.

Chapter Flow

Glossary

#

Term

Explanation

1

Multiple regression

Regression with more than one predictor.

2

Predictor

An input variable used in a model.

3

Target

The outcome variable being modeled.

4

Coefficient

A model parameter attached to a predictor.

5

Intercept

The predicted target when all predictors equal zero.

6

Holding constant

Interpreting one predictor while other predictors stay fixed.

7

Feature matrix

A table of predictor values used for modeling.

8

Response vector

The target values used for modeling.

9

Multicollinearity

Strong association among predictors.

10

Additivity

A model assumption that predictor effects combine by addition.

11

Linearity

A model assumption that relationships are represented by straight-line effects.

12

Residual

Observed value minus predicted value.

13

Residual diagnostic

A check based on residual patterns.

14

Training data

Data used to fit a model.

15

Test data

Data reserved to evaluate model performance.

16

Mean squared error

Average squared prediction error.

17

Root mean squared error

Square root of mean squared prediction error.

18

R-squared

The proportion of outcome variation explained by a model.

19

Overfitting

When a model fits training data too closely and generalizes poorly.

20

Interpretability

How easily a model can be explained.

21

Prediction pipeline

The steps used to prepare data, fit a model, and evaluate predictions.

Chapter Overview Slides